Record 72-65
Michigan +3 vs. Florida
If you go solely off of tournament performances, the Wolverines are the sure pick here. They came all the way back against Kansas when it looked to be already over. This is a team that decimated VCU's press and took care of South Dakota State rather easily. Florida had three double digit victories, but they weren't exactly challenged either. They beat a 14, 11 and a 15 seed. Now they take a step up in class with Michigan. The Wolverines are a balanced team especially with Mitch McGary playing a lot better. Trey Burke showed he was the best player in the country on Friday night and Tim Hardaway III is another weapon at their disposal. If Michigan commits themselves to defense like they have at times this postseason, they should be able to win this one outright. Florida's offense is inconsistent and their lack of close game victories will hurt them in the end against John Beilein. The Gators are a run and hide team, but they won't be able to do so on Sunday.